Understanding Uncertainty Through Simulation is the result of decades of teaching and learning from students at both the university and executive education level. It was through their feedback that this interactive approach to explaining uncertainty evolved.
It is also the result of decades of interaction and inspiration from my colleagues. In particular the new field of Probability Management, discussed in section V, would not exist in its current form without the efforts and contributions of Andy Parker of Bessemer Trust, Stefan Scholtes of Cambridge University, Daniel Zweidler of Merck & Co., and Dan Fylstra of Frontline Systems. In addition, the DIST 1.0 data type benefited from the contributions of John Rivlin of eBook Technologies, John Sall of SAS Institute, and Eric Wainwright of Oracle Corp. Others whose influence is reflected here include Ben Ball, Brad Efron, Dennis Fuller, Peter Glynn, Jack Gould, Ron Howard, Dave Luenberger, Roger Myerson, Brad Osgood, William Perry, the late Rick Rosenthal, the late Richard Savage, Linus Schrage, William Sharpe, Bruce Spencer, and Arthur Veinott. Last but not least, I am indebted to Harry Markowitz both for his encouragement as well as his suggestion that I abandon my attempt to teach this stuff and go out on a street corner with a spinner and "Make Book".
David Empey led the development of XLSim 3.0 based on the earlier design of Christian Peccei. Ron Roth led the programming implementation of the DIST 1.0 standard data type. The Activate and Deactivate commands were inspired by Anton Rowe of EpiSoft. Adam Brower of Hermes Group and my student, Neil Gupta assisted with this tutotial.